Forecast

Forecast

 

 

 

Variance

Variance

 

 

 

Month 7

Month 9

Movement

 

Service

£'000

£'000

£'000

Explanation of Main Movements

Director of Families, Children & Learning

(5)

(5)

0

 

Health, SEN & Disability Services

960

965

5

 

Education & Skills

1,205

1,050

(155)

Savings in Early Help services and some improvement to Home to School Transport forecast.

Children's Safeguarding & Care

1,154

730

(424)

Achievement of financial recovery measures below plus additional savings on residential placements.

Quality Assurance & Performance

32

23

(9)

Minor movements.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(173)

0

173

See above.

Total Families, Children & Learning

3,173

2,763

(410)

 

Adult Social Care

1,079

539

(540)

Due to temporary staffing vacancies and NHS hospital discharge funding.

S75 Sussex Partnership Foundation Trust (SPFT)

(208)

(345)

(137)

Reduction in forecast activity.

Integrated Commissioning

(333)

(738)

(405)

Better Care Fund risk-share, temporary staffing vacancies and further delays to the planned service redesign.

Life Events

153

(42)

(195)

Due to one-off works being delayed to 2023/24.

Public Health

0

0

0

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(104)

0

104

Savings shown above.

Total Health & Adult Social Care

587

(586)

(1,173)

 

Transport

1,530

422

(1,108)

Expenditure improvements of £0.183m are being forecast including off-street car parking costs delayed and staffing vacancies as part of expenditure control measures, and actual Business Rates and unsupported borrowings costs lower than previously forecasted. Economic improvements brought about some income improvement during November and December in on-street and PCN parking incomes with higher volumes of income from visitors than similar months in previous years. The forecast for January to March 2023 has also been adjusted accordingly to take this into consideration. In addition to this, parking suspensions continues to improve due to increasing development and works across the city. These improvements and revised forecasts for the remainder of the year have improved parking income forecasts by £0.515m. Increased Street works, Traffic Regulation Orders, Permit Fee and Fixed Penalty Notices income of £0.227m offset by increased permit software costs of £0.029m within Traffic Management. Public Transport Local Transport Fund grant award (£0.060m). Reduced forecast payments to Bus Operators (£0.071m) and Direct Employee costs (£0.020m) within the BSIP (Bus Service Improvement Plan) funding. Reduction in forecast repair costs of £0.054m for Bus Shelters.

City Environmental Management

717

243

(474)

Reductions in staffing forecasts of £0.300m for Waste and Street Cleansing reflecting reduced agency as part of spending controls and part year vacancies from the pay award allocation. £0.060m improvements in trade waste income. Reductions in staffing and forecast expenditure of £0.025m within City Parks as part of spending control in year. Reduction in fleet costs of £0.105m.

City Development & Regeneration

121

(150)

(271)

£0.113m improvement for reduced and delayed spend for projects within Sustainability and £0.047m within Carbon Neutral as part of expenditure control measures. £0.057m improvement in staffing forecasts following vacancy control measures. Reduced forecast for legal fees of £0.020m and increased internal fees for BHCC schemes of £0.030m within Development Planning.

Culture, Tourism & Sport

100

150

50

£0.020m improvement in outdoor events from reduction in event costs and improved hire charge income forecasts. £0.077m additional costs to the Royal Pavilion & Museums Trust reflecting contract obligations.

Property

255

13

(242)

£0.154m Improvement in rental incomes following rent reviews and reductions in NNDR due to NNDR credits identified. £0.050m improvement from reduced utilities inspection fees. £0.050m improvement in commercial rents contract costs.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(276)

(74)

202

Financial Recovery Measures for Parking Services reflected in forecasts

Total Economy, Environment & Culture

2,447

604

(1,843)

 

Housing General Fund

1,201

366

(835)

£1.006m extra HPG funding; Seaside Homes contribution to bad debt £0.175m and repairs costs £0.064m; reduced costs of Emergency Accomm (£0.162m); more prevention costs £0.317m, ethical lettings agency (£0.100m); capitalisation (0.078m), and rough sleeper commissioning (£0.55m)

Libraries

100

59

(41)

Reduction in ICT costs, following changes made last year.

Communities, Equalities & Third Sector

(134)

(137)

(3)

Minor movements.

Safer Communities

(105)

(144)

(39)

Staffing vacancies.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(200)

0

200

These measures are now incorporated within the forecast.

Total Housing, Neighbourhoods & Communities

862

144

(718)

 

Chief Executive Monitoring Office

13

8

(5)

Minor movements.

Policy & Communications

(37)

(41)

(4)

Minor movements.

Legal & Democratic Services

158

222

64

Primarily due to recently agreed market supplement costs

Elections & Land Charges

68

68

0

 

Customer Modernisation & Data

(115)

(200)

(85)

Vacancy management savings.

Finance

(211)

(126)

85

Correction of coding of staffing costs.

Procurement (Mobo)

0

0

0

 

HR & Organisational Development

(17)

(215)

(198)

Restructure and vacancy management savings.

IT&D (Mobo)

(300)

(400)

(100)

Vacancy management savings.

Welfare Revenue & Business Support

146

146

0

 

Orbis Services

1,536

1,440

(96)

Improved forecast for the Orbis Partnership (mainly vacancy savings).

Total Governance, People & Resources

1,241

902

(339)

 

Bulk Insurance Premia

110

293

183

Increased projected cost for settling claims.

Capital Financing Costs

(1,538)

(2,441)

(903)

Increased cash balances and investment rates have led to a continued increase in investment income. Additionally, a review and revision of assumptions for payment of interest to certain reserves during the year has resulted in a reduction of interest paid over.

Levies & Precepts

0

0

0

 

Unallocated Contingency & Risk Provisions

0

(383)

(383)

Release of brought forward and in-year contingency in line with spending controls for non-essential spend.

Unringfenced Grants

(79)

(79)

0

 

Housing Benefit Subsidy

761

761

0

 

Other Corporate Items

4,073

4,595

522

Increased cost of pay award.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

0

0

0

 

Total Corporately-held Budgets

3,327

2,746

(581)

 

Total General Fund

11,637

6,573

(5,064)